Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -16 (78-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Rose * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 24 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Speedy Claxton | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Bremer * | 39 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 34 | 8-20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Grant Long * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter