Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +24 (101-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Harpring * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 24 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Stockton * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Najera * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 26 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 24 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Popeye Jones | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter