Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +5 (138-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 42 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 41 | 14-21 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 24 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 40 | 9-20 | 4-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 34 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Chris Mills | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 45 | 11-22 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 44 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 36 | 10-22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 34 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 28 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jason Caffey * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter