Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.2% | 28.8% | -5.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -26 (89-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 31 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 29 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 22 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Mike Batiste * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Cezary Trybanski | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Robert Archibald | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milt Palacio * | 36 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 34 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 24 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tierre Brown * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Smush Parker | 10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter