Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | -5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -9 (88-97). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| David Robinson * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 27 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Malik Rose | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 45 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 36 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 24 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Glen Rice | 26 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter