Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | -0.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +2 (100-98). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 50 | 1-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 44 | 10-21 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 26 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Glen Rice | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tito Maddox | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jordan * | 49 | 15-26 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 48 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 45 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Juan Dixon | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Charles Oakley | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter