Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (99-97). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 45 | 7-18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 42 | 13-19 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 29 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Randy Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 40 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 39 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 35 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Gill | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gary Trent | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter