Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (117-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 40 | 8-23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 38 | 13-26 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 30 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 32 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Tony Delk | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Vin Baker | 11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Grant Long | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 45 | 13-27 | 3-5 | 10-14 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 24 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 35 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 9-13 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Bob Sura | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter