Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (108-103). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 49 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 45 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 44 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 43 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Al Harrington | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 45 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 39 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 39 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Michael Dickerson | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 13 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Earl Watson | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter