Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +1 (98-97). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 45 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 45 | 6-19 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 40 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ira Newble | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jermaine Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 48 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 36 | 9-21 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 34 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Al Harrington | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter