Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.1 | ✗ (35.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✗ (34.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -30 (76-106). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 37 | 11-19 | 3-5 | 11-13 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 27 | - |
| James Posey * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Terence Morris | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Collier | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Harpring * | 31 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| John Stockton * | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| John Amaechi | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter