Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -5 (111-116). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Rose * | 47 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 46 | 13-21 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 39 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 40 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Steven Smith | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Pippen * | 42 | 7-20 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 41 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 41 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 39 | 11-23 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 19 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Zach Randolph | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Qyntel Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter