Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (112-109). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 46 | 14-24 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 33 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 40 | 12-23 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Peeler | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Gill | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Igor Rakocevic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gary Trent | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 43 | 6-17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 12-19 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 27 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz | 39 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Nick Van Exel | 39 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Walt Williams | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter