Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | -0.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (95-102). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 26 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Al Harrington | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 8-12 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Travis Best * | 37 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 15 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mike James | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter