Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | +10.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (108-100). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 50 | 9-25 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 49 | 11-26 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 43 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Randy Brown | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 50 | 16-25 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 41 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 49 | 3-18 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| David Robinson * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Steven Smith | 19 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Malik Rose | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter