Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +6 (99-93). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Marbury * | 40 | 12-21 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 10-15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Randy Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Harpring * | 36 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| John Stockton * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Amaechi | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter