Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +6 (104-98). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 45 | 8-22 | 2-6 | 8-11 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 44 | 16-24 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 27 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 34 | 6-17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Randy Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Gill * | 41 | 7-18 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Peeler | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Joe Smith | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 21 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Rod Strickland | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Loren Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Slater | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter