Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | -1.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (93-84). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 41 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 38 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 32 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dion Glover | 10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 39 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Travis Best * | 33 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Mike James | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter