Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +1 (89-88). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 40 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 38 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 29 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Desmond Mason | 32 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ansu Sesay | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 44 | 12-23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 39 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 36 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Scott Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter