Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -14 (88-102). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 40 | 9-24 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 32 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 23 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 18 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Scott Williams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alton Ford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 39 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Emanual Davis | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dion Glover | 18 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Maloney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter