Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | +9.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +22 (94-72). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Junior Harrington | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough | 20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rodney White | 17 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Bender | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 18 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Primoz Brezec | 8 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
* = starter