Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +23 (99-76). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 31 | 8-19 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | -3 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 23 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Scott Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calbert Cheaney * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| John Stockton * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 28 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jarron Collins | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter