Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | -2.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (84-73). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gooden * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Wesley Person | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Earl Watson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gordan Giricek | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Robert Archibald | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Brevin Knight | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| James Posey * | 37 | 2-13 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Rodney White | 26 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Junior Harrington | 12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter