Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | +8.0 | ✓ (31.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (30.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +39 (114-75). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 28 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Zeljko Rebraca * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Clifford Robinson | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 31 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jon Barry | 12 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Raja Bell | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Nick Van Exel | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Walt Williams | 18 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter