Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | -3.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -26 (63-89). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 28 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Zeljko Rebraca * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Clifford Robinson | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jon Barry | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 36 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Junior Harrington | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rodney White | 15 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter