Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (93-88). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 38 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 34 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Dion Glover | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Emanual Davis | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Amal McCaskill | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 43 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 40 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Scott Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter