Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.6% | 11.4% | -7.5 | ✗ (26.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.7 | ✗ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +19 (89-70). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Devean George * | 34 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko | 19 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tracy Murray | 10 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Soumaila Samake | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Miles * | 40 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 38 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Tyrone Hill * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 31 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Boozer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Smush Parker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter