Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (82-84). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Zeljko Rebraca * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Clifford Robinson | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 30 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 27 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Jon Barry | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mehmet Okur | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 43 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 42 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 19 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Scott Williams | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Randy Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter