Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.4% | 9.6% | -8.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (101-103). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 49 | 14-27 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 46 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| David Robinson * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Malik Rose | 28 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephen Jackson | 18 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Devin Brown | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 45 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 44 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 39 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Gordan Giricek | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brevin Knight | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Wesley Person | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Earl Watson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter