Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (97-83). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 37 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 24 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 19 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Randy Brown | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 7-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Walt Williams | 22 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Van Exel | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Raja Bell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Evan Eschmeyer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter