Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | +11.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (78-74). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 42 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 41 | 6-22 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Tyrone Hill * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carlos Boozer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 44 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 44 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 23 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 29 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Scott Williams | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter