Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +14 (120-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 40 | 18-28 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 16 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dean Oliver * | 18 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Chris Mills * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Larry Hughes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scot Pollard * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke * | 28 | 13-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves * | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chucky Brown | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter