Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (96-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 38 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| John Stockton * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 24 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Lewis * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Starks * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 39 | 13-23 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 25 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Johnny Newman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter