Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (81-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 39 | 5-21 | 1-4 | 12-14 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| David Wesley * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| George Lynch * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 30 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Eddie House * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter