Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.8% | 38.2% | -2.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -17 (99-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Najera * | 43 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 35 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 31 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 26 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Evan Eschmeyer * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 13 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 34 | 8-19 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jerome James * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Olumide Oyedeji | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter