Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.1% | 13.9% | -10.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -21 (92-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 12-17 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 38 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 27 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mark Bryant * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Charles Smith * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Buford * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Antonis Fotsis * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Gill * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter