Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (97-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-9 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 37 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Mills * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 18 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 29 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Zendon Hamilton * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mengke Bateer * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| George McCloud * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter