Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (86-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 14-25 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 38 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| David Robinson * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mark Bryant * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charles Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Hart | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 41 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 39 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Zeljko Rebraca * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter