Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (99-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 37 | 14-31 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 17 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Don Reid * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 19 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Ewing * | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 37 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Eddie House * | 32 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 14 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter