Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 6-20 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 22 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eddie House * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 46 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 43 | 8-20 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Rogers * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter