Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (97-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| George McCloud * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 18 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Zendon Hamilton * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mengke Bateer | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Buford * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Antonis Fotsis * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Gill | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter