Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 52 | 14-29 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 15 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 51 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 45 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dan Langhi * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Terence Morris * | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Strickland * | 46 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 46 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Eddie House * | 36 | 8-16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter