Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -9 (96-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 33 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 16 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryon Russell * | 39 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | - |
| John Stockton * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Rusty LaRue * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Ostertag | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter