Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 46 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 46 | 8-25 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | -1 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Evan Eschmeyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 44 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 37 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| David Robinson * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 22 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Charles Smith * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter