Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George McCloud * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 33 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 31 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| James Posey * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zendon Hamilton * | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield * | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mengke Bateer * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 35 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Mills * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter