Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (102-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 42 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 33 | 8-20 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Greg Anthony * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 23 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Mark Pope * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House * | 28 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter