Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.5% | 7.5% | -13.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -24 (78-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| David Robinson * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Charles Smith * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mark Bryant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cherokee Parks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 43 | 9-21 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 41 | 5-18 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dan Langhi * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Terence Morris * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Oscar Torres | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tierre Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter