Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (90-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 43 | 11-21 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jerome James * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Olumide Oyedeji * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Randy Livingston * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ansu Sesay | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 45 | 12-26 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter