Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +7 (97-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 43 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| David Wesley * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| George Lynch * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter