Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (87-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 39 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 28 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 37 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 27 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Zeljko Rebraca * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Eddie House * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter